China’s Second-Quarter GDP Growth Exceeds Expectations

CHINA’S SECOND-QUARTER growth came in at a slightly better-than-expected 7.5%. That is 0.1 percentage points up on the first quarter. Thank a series of targeted stimulus measures for that. Both retail sales and industrial production rose in the quarter.

With the stimulus effects likely to carry over to the third quarter, the official target of 7.5% GDP growth for the full year is back on track. Additional stimulus is unlikely for now except in the slowest growing provinces, where local authorities are still spending heavily, old school.

Low inflation leaves Beijing with some monetary policy flexibility, but cutting interest rates or banks’ reserve requirements to help business get more credit has to be balanced against reigniting asset prices, particularly property.

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